Skip to main content
Every Australian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUMelton South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Melton South weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Melton South today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 39% chance of rain.

17°
13°
15°
12°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Melton South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 11°
±7°

Melton South is a small town of about 11,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.7°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Melton South with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Brookfield, Melton, Melton West.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Melton South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C95±2.6 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±26%13% to 39% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±31%8% to 39% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Melton South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Melton South today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Melton South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Melton South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Melton South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Melton South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Melton South (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather