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CheckWeather US›Nevada›Winchester

Winchester weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 18 mph · Humidity 45%
AmericanNOAA GFS
62°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 39%
EuropeanECMWF
60°
Mainly clear
Feels 55° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 47%

Latest for Winchester: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 62° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 62° Clear · European (ECMWF): 60° Mainly clear.

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Winchester weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Winchester weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Winchester swings 69°F across the year, from 104°F highs in July to 35°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 5 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 203 days a year at 77°F or above, 157 of them at 86°F or above, 8 frost nights, and rain on 25 days.

Warmest month
July
104°F average high
Coldest month
December
35°F average low
Wettest month
February
5 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
March and November
Residents
28,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
203 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
8 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
25 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Winchester’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Winchester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Winchester hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Winchester 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Winchester, Nevada (NV) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 104°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 35°F), with roughly 5 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Winchester right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Winchester climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
69°
50°
Apr
79°
54°
May
87°
63°
Jun
98°
73°
Jul
104°
77°
Aug
101°
78°
Sep
93°
68°
Oct
79°
55°
Nov
64°
43°
Dec
55°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Winchester has changed since 1995

Winchester sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Las Vegas. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Las Vegas page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Winchester?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F92±2.3 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F87±4.1 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Winchester today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Winchester today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Winchester today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Winchester and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Winchester?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Winchester (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Winchester?
July is typically the warmest month in Winchester, with average highs around 104°F.
How cold does Winchester get?
The coldest month in Winchester is December, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Winchester get?
Winchester sees roughly 5 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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