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CheckWeather USParadise
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Paradise weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Paradise today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 83°, with a 73% chance of rain.

97°75°
83°74°
94°69°
98°78°
102°85°
106°87°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Clear
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 72°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Paradise and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
97° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
83° 74°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
94° 69°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
98° 78°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
102° 85°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
106° 87°
±6°
Fri
Clear
103° 88°
models agree
Sat
Clear
99° 85°
models agree
Sun
Clear
95° 80°
±8°
Mon
Clear
97° 81°
±5°
Tue
Clear
98° 82°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
101° 85°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
97° 80°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
93° 79°
±5°

Paradise, NV is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 110°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 7 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Paradise right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Paradise climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
80°
55°
May
89°
65°
Jun
99°
74°
Jul
110°
83°
Aug
102°
79°
Sep
95°
70°
Oct
85°
61°
Nov
65°
44°
Dec
61°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Paradise?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F95±1.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F88±3.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°80° to 85°±29%44% to 73% chance
Mon±3°92° to 95°models agree2% to 2% chance
Tue±5°96° to 101°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±5°100° to 105°±1%3% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paradise

today, local time
Sunrise
06:15
Sunset
19:02
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paradise today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Paradise today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paradise today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Paradise and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paradise?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paradise (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paradise?
July is typically the warmest month in Paradise, with average highs around 110°F.
How cold does Paradise get?
The coldest month in Paradise is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Paradise get?
Paradise sees roughly 7 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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