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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Paradise weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Paradise today. Tomorrow: clear, around 75°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°58°
75°56°
78°61°
78°61°
78°61°
78°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Mostly clear
Today 75°·Low 60°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 56°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Clear
Today 72°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
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Paradise weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Paradise…

Paradise weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Paradise swings 69°F across the year, from 104°F highs in July to 35°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 6 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 202 days a year at 77°F or above, 156 of them at 86°F or above, 8 frost nights, and rain on 26 days.

Warmest month
July
104°F average high
Coldest month
December
35°F average low
Wettest month
February
6 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
March and November
Residents
223,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
202 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
8 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
26 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Paradise’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Paradise and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Paradise hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Paradise 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
75° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
75° 56°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
78° 61°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
78° 61°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
78° 61°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
78° 62°
±7°
Fri
Partly cloudy
73° 63°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
71° 61°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
69° 61°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
69° 61°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
75° 62°
models agree
Wed
Clear
72° 60°
±13°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 62°
±11°

Paradise, Nevada (NV) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 104°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 35°F), with roughly 6 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Paradise right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Paradise climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
69°
50°
Apr
79°
54°
May
87°
63°
Jun
98°
73°
Jul
104°
77°
Aug
101°
78°
Sep
93°
68°
Oct
79°
55°
Nov
64°
43°
Dec
55°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Paradise has changed since 1995

Paradise sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Las Vegas. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Las Vegas page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Paradise?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F94±2.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
93±0.7°F91±2.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°72° to 76°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°74° to 75°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°77° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°77° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°76° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paradise

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paradise today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Paradise today. Tomorrow: clear, around 75°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Paradise today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Paradise on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paradise?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paradise (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paradise?
July is typically the warmest month in Paradise, with average highs around 104°F.
How cold does Paradise get?
The coldest month in Paradise is December, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Paradise get?
Paradise sees roughly 6 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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