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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Henderson weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Henderson today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 84°, with a 69% chance of rain.

99°77°
84°75°
96°72°
99°79°
103°84°
106°86°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 78°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Clear
Today 100°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Clear
Today 100°·Low 76°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Henderson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
99° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
84° 75°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
96° 72°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
99° 79°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
103° 84°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
106° 86°
±7°
Fri
Clear
104° 88°
models agree
Sat
Clear
100° 85°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
96° 79°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 80°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
98° 82°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
101° 84°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
95° 80°
±5°
Fri
Showers
93° 77°
models agree

Henderson, NV is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 110°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 7 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Henderson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Henderson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
54°
38°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
79°
55°
May
89°
66°
Jun
99°
75°
Jul
110°
85°
Aug
102°
80°
Sep
95°
71°
Oct
84°
61°
Nov
65°
45°
Dec
61°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Henderson?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F94±1.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F86±4.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°97° to 100°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±6°81° to 87°±26%43% to 69% chance
Mon±5°93° to 98°±2%2% to 4% chance
Tue±4°96° to 100°±1%2% to 3% chance
Wed±6°100° to 106°±3%3% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Henderson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:15
Sunset
19:02
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Henderson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Henderson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Henderson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Henderson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Henderson?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Henderson (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Henderson?
July is typically the warmest month in Henderson, with average highs around 110°F.
How cold does Henderson get?
The coldest month in Henderson is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Henderson get?
Henderson sees roughly 7 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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