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CheckWeather USLas Vegas
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Las Vegas weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Las Vegas today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 83°, with a 58% chance of rain.

97°74°
83°74°
95°70°
98°78°
102°84°
105°87°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Clear
Today 98°·Low 74°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 72°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Las Vegas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
97° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
83° 74°
±8°
Mon
Mostly clear
95° 70°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
98° 78°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
102° 84°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
105° 87°
±4°
Fri
Clear
104° 88°
models agree
Sat
Clear
100° 85°
±4°
Sun
Clear
95° 80°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
97° 81°
±5°
Tue
Clear
98° 83°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
101° 85°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
97° 80°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
94° 79°
±6°

Las Vegas, NV is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 110°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 6 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Las Vegas right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Las Vegas climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
39°
Feb
60°
40°
Mar
66°
46°
Apr
80°
56°
May
90°
65°
Jun
100°
75°
Jul
110°
84°
Aug
103°
79°
Sep
95°
72°
Oct
86°
62°
Nov
66°
45°
Dec
62°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Las Vegas?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F94±1.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F82±5.7 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±8°79° to 86°±11%47% to 58% chance
Mon±3°93° to 95°±2%2% to 4% chance
Tue±3°96° to 99°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±4°101° to 105°±1%3% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Las Vegas

today, local time
Sunrise
06:15
Sunset
19:02
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Las Vegas today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Las Vegas today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Las Vegas today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Las Vegas and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Las Vegas?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Las Vegas (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Las Vegas?
July is typically the warmest month in Las Vegas, with average highs around 110°F.
How cold does Las Vegas get?
The coldest month in Las Vegas is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Las Vegas get?
Las Vegas sees roughly 6 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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