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CheckWeather US›Nevada›Las Vegas
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Las Vegas weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Las Vegas's high today between 72° and 77°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 75°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°58°
75°55°
77°60°
78°60°
78°60°
77°62°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Mostly clear
Today 76°·Low 60°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 56°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Mostly clear
Today 72°·Low 58°·Rain 6%
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Las Vegas weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Las Vegas…

Las Vegas weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Las Vegas swings 69°F across the year, from 104°F highs in July to 35°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 5 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 205 days a year at 77°F or above, 159 of them at 86°F or above, 9 frost nights, and rain on 24 days.

Warmest month
July
104°F average high
Coldest month
December
35°F average low
Wettest month
February
5 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
March and November
Residents
642,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
205 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
9 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
24 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Las Vegas’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Las Vegas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Las Vegas in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Las Vegas, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Las Vegas hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Las Vegas 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
75° 58°
±5°
Tomorrow
Clear
75° 55°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 60°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
78° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
78° 60°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
77° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
72° 62°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
71° 60°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
69° 60°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
70° 60°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 61°
±8°
Wed
Clear
72° 61°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 62°
±13°

Las Vegas, Nevada (NV) (often shortened to Vegas) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 104°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 35°F), with roughly 5 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Las Vegas right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Las Vegas climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
39°
Feb
61°
41°
Mar
70°
50°
Apr
79°
55°
May
88°
63°
Jun
99°
74°
Jul
104°
78°
Aug
102°
78°
Sep
93°
70°
Oct
80°
56°
Nov
65°
44°
Dec
56°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Las Vegas' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.6°F

Around Las Vegas, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average1996: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average1997: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average1998: −3.3°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2005: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2014: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.9°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2023: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.8°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

4 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −15 vs the 30-year average1996: +6 vs the 30-year average1997: +1 vs the 30-year average1998: −30 vs the 30-year average1999: −17 vs the 30-year average2000: +16 vs the 30-year average2001: +25 vs the 30-year average2002: +5 vs the 30-year average2003: +9 vs the 30-year average2004: −0 vs the 30-year average2005: −19 vs the 30-year average2006: +5 vs the 30-year average2007: +5 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: −0 vs the 30-year average2010: −5 vs the 30-year average2011: −8 vs the 30-year average2012: +8 vs the 30-year average2013: −15 vs the 30-year average2014: +4 vs the 30-year average2015: +3 vs the 30-year average2016: −12 vs the 30-year average2017: −8 vs the 30-year average2018: +14 vs the 30-year average2019: −11 vs the 30-year average2020: +18 vs the 30-year average2021: +13 vs the 30-year average2022: +4 vs the 30-year average2023: −9 vs the 30-year average2024: +26 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

8 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4 vs the 30-year average1996: +2 vs the 30-year average1997: +12 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: −5 vs the 30-year average2001: +10 vs the 30-year average2002: +10 vs the 30-year average2003: −4 vs the 30-year average2004: +6 vs the 30-year average2005: −11 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: +16 vs the 30-year average2008: +10 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: −5 vs the 30-year average2011: +6 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: +16 vs the 30-year average2014: −13 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −1 vs the 30-year average2017: −10 vs the 30-year average2018: −8 vs the 30-year average2019: +12 vs the 30-year average2020: −12 vs the 30-year average2021: −6 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −5 vs the 30-year average2024: −15 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +7% vs the 30-year average1997: +4% vs the 30-year average1998: +2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: +4% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: +4% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: −7% vs the 30-year average2015: −7% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: −4% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: +2% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −1% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.2°F−15+4−1%
1996+0.1°F+6+2+7%
1997−0.8°F+1+12+4%
1998−3.3°F−30+3+2%
1999−1.2°F−17−6+2%
2000+0.1°F+16−5+2%
2001+0.6°F+25+10−4%
2002+0.3°F+5+10+4%
2003+0.8°F+9−4−1%
2004−0.6°F−0+6+2%
2005−1.0°F−19−11−1%
2006−0.6°F+5−0−1%
2007−0.1°F+5+16+2%
2008−0.6°F−2+10+2%
2009−0.8°F−0+5+2%
2010−1.4°F−5−5+4%
2011−1.9°F−8+6+2%
2012+0.6°F+8−5−1%
2013−1.0°F−15+16−1%
2014+1.5°F+4−13−7%
2015+1.2°F+3−3−7%
2016+1.0°F−12−1−1%
2017+1.7°F−8−10+2%
2018+1.3°F+14−8−4%
2019−1.2°F−11+12−1%
2020+1.3°F+18−12−1%
2021+1.9°F+13−6+2%
2022+1.0°F+4−1+2%
2023−0.3°F−9−5−1%
2024+2.8°F+26−15−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Las Vegas, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Las Vegas?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F85±4.8 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°72° to 77°±4%2% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°75° to 75°models agree1% to 1% chance
Mon±4°76° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°77° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°76° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Las Vegas

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
17:52
Daylight
10h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Las Vegas today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Las Vegas's high today between 72° and 77°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 75°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Las Vegas today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Las Vegas on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 6%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Las Vegas?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Las Vegas (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Las Vegas?
July is typically the warmest month in Las Vegas, with average highs around 104°F.
How cold does Las Vegas get?
The coldest month in Las Vegas is December, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Las Vegas get?
Las Vegas sees roughly 5 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Las Vegas getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Las Vegas, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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