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CheckWeather US›Texas›Waxahachie

Waxahachie weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
58°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
54°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 73%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Clear
Feels 61° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for Waxahachie: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 58° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 54° Clear · European (ECMWF): 62° Clear.

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Waxahachie weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Waxahachie…

Waxahachie weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Waxahachie swings 56°F across the year, from 94°F highs in August to 38°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 197 days a year at 77°F or above, 121 of them at 86°F or above, 17 frost nights, and rain on 109 days.

Warmest month
August
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
May
40 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
33,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
197 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
17 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
109 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Waxahachie’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Waxahachie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Waxahachie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Waxahachie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Waxahachie, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waxahachie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Waxahachie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
38°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
67°
49°
Apr
74°
56°
May
82°
65°
Jun
89°
71°
Jul
93°
75°
Aug
94°
74°
Sep
86°
68°
Oct
78°
58°
Nov
66°
47°
Dec
57°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Waxahachie has changed since 1995

Waxahachie sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Arlington. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Arlington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Waxahachie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Waxahachie today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Waxahachie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waxahachie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Waxahachie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waxahachie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waxahachie (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waxahachie?
August is typically the warmest month in Waxahachie, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Waxahachie get?
The coldest month in Waxahachie is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Waxahachie get?
Waxahachie sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

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