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CheckWeather USShelby
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Shelby weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Shelby today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 75°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°62°
75°59°
77°57°
80°58°
79°69°
77°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Partly cloudy
Today 76°·Low 62°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 62°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 61°·Rain 59%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Shelby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
77° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
75° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
77° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 58°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 69°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
77° 63°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
77° 57°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 62°
±7°
Sun
Light rain
82° 63°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 59°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
70° 54°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 51°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 52°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 53°
±6°

Shelby, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Shelby right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Shelby climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
59°
40°
May
71°
49°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
79°
61°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
62°
47°
Nov
49°
36°
Dec
40°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Shelby?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F94±1.9 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°76° to 79°±54%5% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°75° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°79° to 82°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±9°74° to 83°±15%38% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shelby

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:59
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shelby today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Shelby today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shelby today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Shelby and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shelby?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shelby (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shelby?
July is typically the warmest month in Shelby, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Shelby get?
The coldest month in Shelby is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Shelby get?
Shelby sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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