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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Detroit weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Detroit today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 76°, with a 16% chance of rain.

77°64°
76°61°
76°60°
80°61°
81°71°
79°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Heavy drizzle
Today 76°·Low 65°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 64°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Drizzle
Today 77°·Low 65°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Detroit and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
77° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
76° 61°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
76° 60°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
80° 61°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
81° 71°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 66°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
78° 60°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 65°
±7°
Sun
Showers
82° 66°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 62°
±18°
Tue
Light drizzle
71° 57°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
71° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
73° 57°
models agree

Detroit, MI. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Detroit right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Detroit's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Detroit weather by month

what to expect in Detroit through the year

Here is Detroit's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Detroit by season.

Jan
35°
25°
Cold
Feb
43°
26°
Cool
Mar
47°
31°
Cool
Apr
59°
41°
Mild
Wettest
May
71°
51°
Mild
Jun
79°
61°
Warm
Jul
82°
65°
Warm
Aug
79°
63°
Warm
Sep
75°
60°
Warm
Oct
63°
48°
Mild
Nov
50°
37°
Cool
Dec
41°
32°
Cool

What Detroit's weather is like through the year

Detroit runs from warm summers, with July highs near 82°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 25°F (a swing of about 57°F across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Detroit sees roughly 38 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 3 months (January, February and March), so Detroit sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Detroit

The most comfortable time to visit Detroit is usually May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Detroit?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.5 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Detroit, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 66. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°76° to 79°±85%13% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±4°75° to 78°±12%4% to 16% chance
Mon±4°74° to 79°±8%4% to 12% chance
Tue±3°79° to 82°±3%1% to 4% chance
Wed±9°75° to 84°±18%20% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Detroit

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:59
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Detroit today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Detroit today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Detroit today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Detroit and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Detroit?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Detroit (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Detroit?
July is typically the warmest month in Detroit, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Detroit get?
The coldest month in Detroit is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Detroit get?
Detroit sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Detroit?
The most comfortable time to visit Detroit is usually May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Detroit?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 3 months (January, February and March) in Detroit, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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