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CheckWeather USDearborn
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Dearborn weather

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Rain,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Dearborn today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°64°
77°60°
77°59°
80°62°
81°70°
80°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Light rain
Today 77°·Low 65°·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Rain
Today 80°·Low 64°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Rain
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dearborn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
78° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
77° 60°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
77° 59°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
80° 62°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
81° 70°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 65°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
79° 60°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 64°
±6°
Sun
Showers
84° 66°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 62°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 56°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
74° 56°
models agree

Dearborn, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dearborn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dearborn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
25°
Feb
43°
26°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
60°
41°
May
72°
50°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
83°
64°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
50°
37°
Dec
42°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dearborn?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F92±2.4 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°77° to 80°±84%14% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±4°75° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°75° to 80°±2%2% to 4% chance
Tue±4°78° to 82°±3%1% to 4% chance
Wed±9°75° to 84°±21%22% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dearborn

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dearborn today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dearborn today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dearborn today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dearborn and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dearborn?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dearborn (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dearborn?
July is typically the warmest month in Dearborn, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Dearborn get?
The coldest month in Dearborn is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Dearborn get?
Dearborn sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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