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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Dearborn Heights weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Dearborn Heights today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 2% chance of rain.

65°43°
67°43°
66°49°
58°46°
63°48°
71°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Mostly clear
Today 66°·Low 44°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
67°
Cloudy
Today 67°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
63°
Cloudy
Today 63°·Low 44°·Rain 0%
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Dearborn Heights weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Dearborn Heights…

Dearborn Heights weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dearborn Heights swings 62°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 20°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 98 days a year at 77°F or above, 29 of them at 86°F or above, 116 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
20°F average low
Wettest month
May
38 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
September and October
Residents
56,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
98 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
116 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
130 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dearborn Heights’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dearborn Heights and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dearborn Heights hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dearborn Heights 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
65° 43°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
67° 43°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
66° 49°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
58° 46°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 48°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 50°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
67° 49°
±11°
Sat
Cloudy
64° 51°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
66° 52°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 45°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
50° 39°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
50° 36°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
55° 42°
±16°

Dearborn Heights, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dearborn Heights right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dearborn Heights climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
20°
Feb
38°
20°
Mar
45°
28°
Apr
57°
36°
May
71°
48°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
74°
57°
Oct
61°
44°
Nov
47°
34°
Dec
36°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dearborn Heights has changed since 1995

Dearborn Heights sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Detroit. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Detroit page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dearborn Heights?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.5 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°63° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°65° to 68°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±2°65° to 67°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±3°56° to 59°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°62° to 66°±9%4% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dearborn Heights

today, local time
Sunrise
07:56
Sunset
18:37
Daylight
10h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dearborn Heights today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Dearborn Heights today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dearborn Heights today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Dearborn Heights on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dearborn Heights?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dearborn Heights (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dearborn Heights?
July is typically the warmest month in Dearborn Heights, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Dearborn Heights get?
The coldest month in Dearborn Heights is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Dearborn Heights get?
Dearborn Heights sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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