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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Livonia weather

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Rain,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Livonia today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 76°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°64°
76°59°
77°59°
80°61°
80°70°
79°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Rain
Today 77°·Low 64°·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Rain
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Livonia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
77° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
76° 59°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
77° 59°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
80° 61°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
80° 70°
±8°
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 65°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
79° 59°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 64°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
84° 66°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 62°
±16°
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 55°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
74° 56°
models agree

Livonia, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Livonia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Livonia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
60°
40°
May
72°
50°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
76°
58°
Oct
63°
47°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
41°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Livonia?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±1.8 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°77° to 78°±83%15% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°75° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°74° to 79°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°78° to 82°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±8°75° to 83°±16%27% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Livonia

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Livonia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Livonia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Livonia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Livonia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Livonia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Livonia (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Livonia?
July is typically the warmest month in Livonia, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Livonia get?
The coldest month in Livonia is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Livonia get?
Livonia sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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