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CheckWeather USRochester Hills
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Rochester Hills weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Rochester Hills today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 75°, with a 2% chance of rain.

77°62°
75°59°
76°57°
80°59°
78°69°
77°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Partly cloudy
Today 75°·Low 62°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 62°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Light drizzle
Today 77°·Low 61°·Rain 71%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rochester Hills and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
77° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
75° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
76° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 59°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
78° 69°
±8°
Thu
Partly cloudy
77° 63°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
77° 58°
±10°
Sat
Partly cloudy
80° 63°
±8°
Sun
Light rain
81° 62°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 59°
±16°
Tue
Light drizzle
70° 54°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 52°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 53°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
72° 54°
±4°

Rochester Hills, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rochester Hills right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rochester Hills climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
60°
40°
May
72°
49°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
79°
61°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
63°
47°
Nov
49°
36°
Dec
40°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rochester Hills?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F93±2.1 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°75° to 78°±66%5% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±3°75° to 78°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°78° to 82°±4%2% to 6% chance
Wed±8°74° to 82°±24%39% to 63% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rochester Hills

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rochester Hills today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rochester Hills today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rochester Hills today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rochester Hills and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rochester Hills?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rochester Hills (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rochester Hills?
July is typically the warmest month in Rochester Hills, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Rochester Hills get?
The coldest month in Rochester Hills is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Rochester Hills get?
Rochester Hills sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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