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CheckWeather USShawnee
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Shawnee weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Shawnee today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 98°, with a 41% chance of rain.

100°76°
98°77°
96°75°
102°80°
94°76°
88°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 78°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Cloudy
Today 100°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 11%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Shawnee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
100° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
98° 77°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 75°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
102° 80°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 76°
±4°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 70°
±11°
Fri
Light drizzle
89° 69°
±12°
Sat
Light drizzle
93° 72°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 66°
±16°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 59°
±10°
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 57°
±12°
Wed
Clear
78° 55°
±10°
Thu
Clear
79° 58°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 60°
models agree

Shawnee, KS is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Shawnee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Shawnee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
23°
Feb
52°
30°
Mar
56°
37°
Apr
68°
47°
May
78°
57°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
88°
70°
Sep
83°
62°
Oct
71°
52°
Nov
55°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Shawnee?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F90±3.0 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°99° to 100°±11%0% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±3°96° to 99°±24%17% to 41% chance
Mon±4°94° to 98°±6%12% to 18% chance
Tue±8°99° to 107°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°91° to 96°models agree51% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shawnee

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shawnee today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Shawnee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shawnee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Shawnee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shawnee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shawnee (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shawnee?
July is typically the warmest month in Shawnee, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Shawnee get?
The coldest month in Shawnee is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Shawnee get?
Shawnee sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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