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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Shawnee weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Shawnee's high today between 75° and 80°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain.

77°58°
78°56°
74°58°
70°57°
75°58°
76°60°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Partly cloudy
Today 78°·Low 59°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 58°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
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Shawnee weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Shawnee…

Shawnee weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Shawnee swings 65°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 23°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 137 days a year at 77°F or above, 66 of them at 86°F or above, 85 frost nights, and rain on 108 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
June
42 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
65,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
137 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
85 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
108 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Shawnee’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Shawnee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Shawnee hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Shawnee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
77° 58°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 56°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
74° 58°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
70° 57°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
75° 58°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
76° 60°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
71° 60°
±10°
Sat
Drizzle
67° 58°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
71° 53°
±17°
Mon
Drizzle
65° 48°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
60° 45°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 44°
±18°
Thu
Cloudy
63° 50°
±20°

Shawnee, Kansas (KS) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Shawnee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Shawnee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
23°
Feb
45°
23°
Mar
54°
35°
Apr
66°
45°
May
75°
54°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
86°
68°
Sep
78°
57°
Oct
66°
47°
Nov
52°
37°
Dec
41°
28°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Shawnee has changed since 1995

Shawnee sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Olathe. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Olathe page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Shawnee?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F92±2.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°75° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±6°75° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°73° to 76°±5%1% to 6% chance
Tue±7°66° to 73°±17%6% to 23% chance
Wed±4°74° to 77°±4%16% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shawnee

today, local time
Sunrise
07:37
Sunset
18:27
Daylight
10h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shawnee today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Shawnee's high today between 75° and 80°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Shawnee today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Shawnee on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shawnee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shawnee (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shawnee?
July is typically the warmest month in Shawnee, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Shawnee get?
The coldest month in Shawnee is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Shawnee get?
Shawnee sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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