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CheckWeather USOlathe
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Olathe weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Olathe today. Tomorrow looks showers around 98°, with a 41% chance of rain.

99°75°
98°76°
96°74°
102°79°
94°75°
88°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 74°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 11%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Olathe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
99° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
98° 76°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 74°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
102° 79°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 75°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 70°
±13°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 68°
±13°
Sat
Light drizzle
94° 71°
±12°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 66°
±16°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 58°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 56°
±11°
Wed
Clear
78° 54°
±10°
Thu
Clear
78° 57°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 59°
models agree

Olathe, KS is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Olathe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Olathe climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
23°
Feb
52°
31°
Mar
56°
37°
Apr
68°
47°
May
77°
57°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
88°
70°
Aug
87°
69°
Sep
82°
62°
Oct
71°
52°
Nov
55°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Olathe?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.4 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.4 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree99° to 99°±11%0% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±3°96° to 100°±23%18% to 41% chance
Mon±4°95° to 98°±5%13% to 18% chance
Tue±10°99° to 108°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°92° to 96°±2%49% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Olathe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Olathe today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Olathe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Olathe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Olathe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Olathe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Olathe (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Olathe?
July is typically the warmest month in Olathe, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Olathe get?
The coldest month in Olathe is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Olathe get?
Olathe sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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