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CheckWeather USLenexa
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Lenexa weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Lenexa today. Tomorrow looks showers around 98°, with a 41% chance of rain.

99°75°
98°76°
96°74°
102°79°
94°75°
88°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 74°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 11%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lenexa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
99° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
98° 76°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 74°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
102° 79°
±9°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
94° 75°
±4°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 70°
±12°
Fri
Light drizzle
89° 69°
±12°
Sat
Light drizzle
94° 72°
±10°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 66°
±16°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 59°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 57°
±11°
Wed
Clear
78° 55°
±10°
Thu
Clear
78° 57°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 60°
models agree

Lenexa is a town of about 52,000 people in KS, sitting at 39.0°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Lenexa with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Overland Park, Merriam, Prairie Village.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lenexa?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±2.0 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°98° to 99°±11%0% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±3°96° to 99°±21%20% to 41% chance
Mon±4°94° to 98°±6%12% to 18% chance
Tue±9°99° to 108°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°92° to 96°±1%50% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lenexa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lenexa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lenexa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lenexa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lenexa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lenexa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lenexa (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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