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CheckWeather USKansas City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Kansas City weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Kansas City today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 98°, with a 41% chance of rain.

99°76°
98°77°
96°74°
102°80°
94°76°
88°71°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 74°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Cloudy
Today 100°·Low 76°·Rain 11%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Kansas City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
99° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
98° 77°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 74°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
102° 80°
±9°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 76°
±5°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 71°
±12°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 69°
±12°
Sat
Light drizzle
94° 72°
±10°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 66°
±17°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 59°
±10°
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 57°
±11°
Wed
Clear
78° 56°
±10°
Thu
Clear
79° 58°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
82° 61°
models agree

Kansas City, KS is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kansas City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Kansas City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
23°
Feb
52°
30°
Mar
56°
37°
Apr
68°
47°
May
78°
57°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
88°
70°
Aug
87°
69°
Sep
82°
62°
Oct
71°
52°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
46°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kansas City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
61
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F95±1.6 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°98° to 100°±11%0% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±4°96° to 99°±23%18% to 41% chance
Mon±5°94° to 99°±7%11% to 18% chance
Tue±9°99° to 108°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±5°91° to 96°±2%51% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kansas City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kansas City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Kansas City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kansas City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Kansas City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kansas City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kansas City (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kansas City?
July is typically the warmest month in Kansas City, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Kansas City get?
The coldest month in Kansas City is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Kansas City get?
Kansas City sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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