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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Rowlett weather

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Showers,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Rowlett today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 98°, with a 16% chance of rain.

97°78°
98°79°
98°79°
100°82°
100°81°
99°80°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Showers
Today 97°·Low 78°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Showers
Today 96°·Low 77°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Light drizzle
Today 96°·Low 78°·Rain 31%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rowlett and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
97° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
98° 79°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 79°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
100° 82°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
100° 81°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
99° 80°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
100° 81°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
100° 81°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
98° 80°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
94° 76°
±13°
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 74°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
88° 71°
±9°
Thu
Clear
90° 68°
±5°
Fri
Clear
94° 71°
±4°

Rowlett, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rowlett right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rowlett climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
63°
45°
Mar
69°
52°
Apr
74°
57°
May
83°
67°
Jun
90°
74°
Jul
94°
77°
Aug
99°
80°
Sep
90°
72°
Oct
81°
63°
Nov
67°
51°
Dec
60°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rowlett?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F96±1.2 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
82
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°96° to 97°±23%8% to 31% chance
Tomorrow±2°97° to 99°±14%2% to 16% chance
Mon±1°97° to 99°±14%2% to 16% chance
Tue±5°99° to 104°±6%6% to 12% chance
Wed±4°98° to 102°±6%2% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rowlett

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rowlett today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rowlett today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rowlett today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rowlett and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rowlett?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Rowlett (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rowlett?
August is typically the warmest month in Rowlett, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Rowlett get?
The coldest month in Rowlett is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Rowlett get?
Rowlett sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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