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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Rockwall weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Rockwall today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 98°, with a 16% chance of rain.

97°78°
98°78°
98°79°
100°81°
99°80°
99°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 78°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 78°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Light drizzle
Today 96°·Low 78°·Rain 31%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rockwall and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
98° 78°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 79°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
100° 81°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
99° 80°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
99° 79°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
100° 80°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
100° 80°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
98° 79°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 75°
±13°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 73°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
87° 69°
±9°
Thu
Clear
88° 66°
±8°
Fri
Clear
93° 69°
±5°

Rockwall, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rockwall right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rockwall climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
63°
45°
Mar
69°
52°
Apr
74°
58°
May
82°
67°
Jun
90°
74°
Jul
93°
77°
Aug
98°
80°
Sep
89°
72°
Oct
81°
63°
Nov
67°
52°
Dec
60°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rockwall?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F94±2.0 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 98°±26%5% to 31% chance
Tomorrow±2°96° to 99°±13%3% to 16% chance
Monmodels agree98° to 99°±13%3% to 16% chance
Tue±6°98° to 104°±7%5% to 12% chance
Wed±4°98° to 102°±6%2% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rockwall

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rockwall today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rockwall today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rockwall today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rockwall and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rockwall?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rockwall (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rockwall?
August is typically the warmest month in Rockwall, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Rockwall get?
The coldest month in Rockwall is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Rockwall get?
Rockwall sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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