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CheckWeather USMesquite
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Mesquite weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Mesquite today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 98°, with a 12% chance of rain.

98°77°
98°78°
99°79°
101°81°
100°80°
100°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Drizzle
Today 98°·Low 78°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 77°·Rain 49%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mesquite and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
98° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
98° 78°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
99° 79°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
101° 81°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
100° 80°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
100° 79°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
101° 80°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
101° 80°
±7°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
99° 79°
±7°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
95° 75°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 74°
±15°
Wed
Cloudy
89° 70°
±10°
Thu
Clear
91° 66°
±8°
Fri
Clear
95° 68°
±6°

Mesquite, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mesquite right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mesquite climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
38°
Feb
64°
45°
Mar
70°
51°
Apr
74°
57°
May
83°
67°
Jun
91°
73°
Jul
94°
77°
Aug
99°
80°
Sep
90°
72°
Oct
82°
63°
Nov
68°
51°
Dec
61°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mesquite?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°97° to 99°±45%4% to 49% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree98° to 99°±10%2% to 12% chance
Mon±1°99° to 99°±17%3% to 20% chance
Tue±5°99° to 104°±18%4% to 22% chance
Wed±5°98° to 103°±6%2% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mesquite

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mesquite today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mesquite today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mesquite today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mesquite and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mesquite?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mesquite (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mesquite?
August is typically the warmest month in Mesquite, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Mesquite get?
The coldest month in Mesquite is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Mesquite get?
Mesquite sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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