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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Livermore weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Livermore's high today between 70° and 74°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain.

71°48°
73°50°
67°50°
66°49°
65°49°
63°49°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Clear
Today 70°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Mostly clear
Today 74°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Clear
Today 70°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
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Livermore weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Livermore…

Livermore weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Livermore swings 48°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 39°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 16 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 122 days a year at 77°F or above, 53 of them at 86°F or above, 2 frost nights, and rain on 54 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
December
39°F average low
Wettest month
January
16 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
88,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
122 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
2 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
54 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Livermore’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Livermore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Livermore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Livermore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
71° 48°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 50°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
67° 50°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
66° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
65° 49°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
63° 49°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
62° 49°
±15°
Sat
Cloudy
65° 47°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
66° 48°
±10°
Mon
Cloudy
67° 51°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
71° 53°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
70° 51°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 54°
±12°

Livermore, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 39°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Livermore right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Livermore climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
40°
Feb
57°
41°
Mar
60°
44°
Apr
66°
46°
May
73°
51°
Jun
80°
54°
Jul
87°
55°
Aug
85°
57°
Sep
83°
57°
Oct
75°
51°
Nov
63°
44°
Dec
54°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Livermore has changed since 1995

Livermore sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Jose. That square ran 0.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Jose page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Livermore?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F95±1.5 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°70° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°73° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°65° to 68°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±1°66° to 67°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±4°62° to 66°±4%2% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Livermore

today, local time
Sunrise
07:24
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Livermore today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Livermore's high today between 70° and 74°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Livermore today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Livermore on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Livermore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Livermore (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Livermore?
July is typically the warmest month in Livermore, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Livermore get?
The coldest month in Livermore is December, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Livermore get?
Livermore sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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