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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Dublin weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Dublin's high today between 70° and 74°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain.

72°47°
73°49°
66°50°
65°49°
65°48°
64°47°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
47°
Clear
Feels 43° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
48°
Clear
Feels 44° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 57%
EuropeanECMWF
45°
Clear
Feels 41° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Dublin: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 47° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 48° Clear · European (ECMWF): 45° Clear.

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Dublin weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Dublin…

Dublin weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dublin swings 40°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 39°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 20 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 82 days a year at 77°F or above, 25 of them at 86°F or above, 2 frost nights, and rain on 62 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
December
39°F average low
Wettest month
January
20 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
58,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
82 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
2 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
62 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dublin’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dublin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dublin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dublin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
72° 47°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 49°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
66° 50°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
65° 49°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
65° 48°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
64° 47°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
62° 48°
±12°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 47°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
68° 47°
±14°
Mon
Cloudy
67° 51°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 53°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 49°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 53°
±11°

Dublin, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 39°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dublin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dublin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
41°
Feb
58°
41°
Mar
60°
45°
Apr
65°
46°
May
70°
51°
Jun
75°
53°
Jul
79°
54°
Aug
78°
55°
Sep
79°
56°
Oct
74°
49°
Nov
64°
42°
Dec
57°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dublin has changed since 1995

Dublin sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Jose. That square ran 0.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Jose page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dublin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F85±4.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°70° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°72° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°65° to 68°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±1°65° to 66°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°62° to 67°±2%2% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dublin

today, local time
Sunrise
07:25
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
10h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dublin today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Dublin's high today between 70° and 74°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dublin today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Dublin on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dublin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dublin (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dublin?
July is typically the warmest month in Dublin, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Dublin get?
The coldest month in Dublin is December, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Dublin get?
Dublin sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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