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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Union City weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Union City's high today between 67° and 73°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 70°, with a 0% chance of rain.

70°49°
70°50°
67°52°
65°51°
65°51°
64°51°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
49°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 66%
EuropeanECMWF
49°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 75%

Latest for Union City: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 49° Clear · European (ECMWF): 49° Clear.

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Union City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Union City…

Union City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Union City swings 34°F across the year, from 75°F highs in September to 41°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 20 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 51 days a year at 77°F or above, 11 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 61 days.

Warmest month
September
75°F average high
Coldest month
December
41°F average low
Wettest month
January
20 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
74,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
51 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
61 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Union City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Union City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Union City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Union City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
70° 49°
±6°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
70° 50°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
67° 52°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
65° 51°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
65° 51°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
64° 51°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 52°
±11°
Sat
Cloudy
65° 50°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
68° 51°
±14°
Mon
Cloudy
68° 54°
±13°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 56°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 53°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 56°
±11°

Union City, California (CA) is at its warmest in Sep (average highs near 75°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 41°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Union City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Union City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
44°
Feb
58°
43°
Mar
60°
47°
Apr
63°
48°
May
69°
53°
Jun
73°
56°
Jul
74°
56°
Aug
74°
58°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
71°
51°
Nov
62°
45°
Dec
55°
41°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Union City has changed since 1995

Union City sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Jose. That square ran 0.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Jose page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Union City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
69±3.1°F97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
63±3.7°F94±1.9 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°67° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°68° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°66° to 67°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°64° to 66°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°64° to 67°±2%2% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Union City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:25
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
10h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Union City today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Union City's high today between 67° and 73°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 70°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Union City today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Union City on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Union City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Union City (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Union City?
September is typically the warmest month in Union City, with average highs around 75°F.
How cold does Union City get?
The coldest month in Union City is December, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Union City get?
Union City sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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