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CheckWeather USSan Jose
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

San Jose weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in San Jose today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 76°, with a 0% chance of rain.

79°56°
76°55°
85°55°
90°64°
96°69°
96°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Mostly clear
Today 78°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 58°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Jose and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
79° 56°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
76° 55°
±4°
Mon
Clear
85° 55°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
90° 64°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
96° 69°
±11°
Thu
Mostly clear
96° 75°
±13°
Fri
Mostly clear
87° 66°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
82° 60°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
79° 58°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 60°
±15°
Tue
Mostly clear
82° 58°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
88° 61°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
89° 61°
±11°
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 58°
models agree

San Jose, CA. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Jose right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down San Jose's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Jose weather by month

what to expect in San Jose through the year

Here is San Jose's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to San Jose by season.

Jan
59°
45°
Mild
Wettest
Feb
59°
42°
Mild
Mar
60°
45°
Mild
Apr
68°
47°
Mild
May
74°
52°
Warm
Jun
81°
56°
Warm
Jul
87°
60°
Hot
Aug
85°
60°
Hot
Sep
82°
58°
Warm
Oct
81°
57°
Warm
Nov
66°
47°
Mild
Dec
61°
46°
Mild

What San Jose's weather is like through the year

San Jose runs from warm summers, with July highs near 87°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 42°F (a swing of about 45°F across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and San Jose sees roughly 28 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit San Jose

The most comfortable time to visit San Jose is usually March, April, May and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in San Jose?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F90±3.1 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
75
/100rank #2
41±5.9°F93±2.1 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for San Jose, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 75. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°83° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±8°86° to 94°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±11°89° to 100°±1%7% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in San Jose

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in San Jose today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Jose today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Jose today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Jose and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Jose?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for San Jose (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Jose?
July is typically the warmest month in San Jose, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does San Jose get?
The coldest month in San Jose is February, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does San Jose get?
San Jose sees roughly 28 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit San Jose?
The most comfortable time to visit San Jose is usually March, April, May and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in San Jose?
Rarely - San Jose very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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