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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Cupertino weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Cupertino's high today between 69° and 75°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 74°, with a 0% chance of rain.

71°52°
74°51°
68°51°
68°50°
66°50°
65°50°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Clear
Today 71°·Low 49°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Partly cloudy
Today 75°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Clear
Today 69°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
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Cupertino weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Cupertino…

Cupertino weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Cupertino swings 44°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 42°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 28 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 136 days a year at 77°F or above, 48 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 57 days.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
December
42°F average low
Wettest month
January
28 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
61,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
136 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
57 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Cupertino’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cupertino and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cupertino hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cupertino 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
71° 52°
±6°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
74° 51°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
68° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
68° 50°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
66° 50°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
65° 50°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 52°
±12°
Sat
Light drizzle
66° 50°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
69° 52°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
69° 55°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 54°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 54°
±13°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 56°
±10°

Cupertino, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 42°F), with roughly 28 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cupertino right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cupertino climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
57°
44°
Feb
59°
43°
Mar
62°
46°
Apr
68°
48°
May
76°
53°
Jun
83°
56°
Jul
86°
57°
Aug
84°
58°
Sep
83°
58°
Oct
76°
53°
Nov
64°
47°
Dec
57°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cupertino has changed since 1995

Cupertino sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Jose. That square ran 0.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Jose page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cupertino?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F94±1.8 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F95±1.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°69° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°73° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°68° to 70°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±2°67° to 69°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±3°64° to 67°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cupertino

today, local time
Sunrise
07:24
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cupertino today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Cupertino's high today between 69° and 75°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 74°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cupertino today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Cupertino on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cupertino?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Cupertino (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cupertino?
July is typically the warmest month in Cupertino, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Cupertino get?
The coldest month in Cupertino is December, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Cupertino get?
Cupertino sees roughly 28 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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