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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Milpitas weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Milpitas's high today between 67° and 72°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 0% chance of rain.

69°47°
71°48°
67°49°
66°49°
66°49°
64°50°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
46°
Clear
Feels 43° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
49°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
50°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 74%

Latest for Milpitas: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 46° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 49° Clear · European (ECMWF): 50° Clear.

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Milpitas weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Milpitas weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Milpitas swings 41°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 42°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 20 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 122 days a year at 77°F or above, 34 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 57 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
December
42°F average low
Wettest month
January
20 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
78,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
122 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
57 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Milpitas’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Milpitas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Milpitas hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Milpitas 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
69° 47°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 48°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
67° 49°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
66° 49°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
66° 49°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
64° 50°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 50°
±12°
Sat
Cloudy
65° 49°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
69° 49°
±16°
Mon
Cloudy
69° 53°
±16°
Tue
Cloudy
71° 56°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
70° 52°
±13°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 55°
±14°

Milpitas, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 42°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Milpitas right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Milpitas climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
57°
44°
Feb
60°
44°
Mar
62°
47°
Apr
68°
49°
May
75°
53°
Jun
80°
57°
Jul
83°
57°
Aug
82°
58°
Sep
81°
58°
Oct
76°
53°
Nov
65°
46°
Dec
57°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Milpitas has changed since 1995

Milpitas sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Jose. That square ran 0.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Jose page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Milpitas?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
76±2.4°F94±1.8 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
88
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°67° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°68° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°66° to 68°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°65° to 68°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°64° to 67°±3%1% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Milpitas

today, local time
Sunrise
07:24
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
10h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Milpitas today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Milpitas's high today between 67° and 72°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Milpitas today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Milpitas on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Milpitas?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Milpitas (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Milpitas?
July is typically the warmest month in Milpitas, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Milpitas get?
The coldest month in Milpitas is December, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Milpitas get?
Milpitas sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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