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Denison weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Denison swings 60°F across the year, from 94°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 178 days a year at 77°F or above, 109 of them at 86°F or above, 25 frost nights, and rain on 102 days.
Warmest month
July
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
May
44 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
23,000
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Warm days
178 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
25 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
102 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Denison’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Denison and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Denison hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Denison 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Denison, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Denison right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
52°
34°
Feb
58°
39°
Mar
64°
45°
Apr
72°
54°
May
80°
62°
Jun
90°
71°
Jul
94°
76°
Aug
92°
72°
Sep
84°
64°
Oct
75°
55°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
54°
37°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Denison's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°F
Around Denison, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
7 fewer days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
9 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.6°F
−11
+2
+3%
1996
−1.4°F
−4
+16
+11%
1997
−2.1°F
−5
+3
−4%
1998
+1.7°F
+38
−8
+1%
1999
+1.1°F
+6
−17
+3%
2000
+0.1°F
+19
+10
+3%
2001
−1.4°F
−9
−1
−4%
2002
−1.7°F
−19
+9
−4%
2003
−0.1°F
+6
+11
−2%
2004
−0.5°F
−30
−1
−2%
2005
+1.0°F
+34
−8
−7%
2006
+2.0°F
+22
−15
+6%
2007
−1.7°F
−40
+9
−7%
2008
−1.0°F
−12
+11
+8%
2009
−1.6°F
−10
+8
+3%
2010
−0.8°F
+10
+16
−2%
2011
+2.4°F
+55
+5
+8%
2012
+2.2°F
+20
−15
+1%
2013
−1.2°F
+11
+14
+1%
2014
−1.7°F
−5
+10
+3%
2015
−0.7°F
−37
−3
−7%
2016
+1.0°F
−25
−8
−4%
2017
+1.5°F
−28
−20
+1%
2018
−0.5°F
+10
+8
+1%
2019
−1.0°F
−24
+6
−2%
2020
−0.5°F
−22
−16
−2%
2021
+0.4°F
−16
−15
−2%
2022
+1.5°F
+35
+15
+3%
2023
+1.9°F
+22
−14
−4%
2024
+2.8°F
+3
−21
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Denison, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F
97±1.1 mph
9396% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F
94±2.0 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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Common questions
What's the weather in Denison today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Denison today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Denison today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Denison and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Denison?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Denison forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Denison?
July is typically the warmest month in Denison, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Denison get?
The coldest month in Denison is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Denison get?
Denison sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
Is Denison getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Denison, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004.