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Melissa weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Clear
Feels 62° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 73%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 66%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Clear
Feels 62° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 62%

Latest for Melissa: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 63° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 58° Clear · European (ECMWF): 64° Clear.

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Melissa weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Melissa…

Melissa weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Melissa swings 58°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
May
42 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
7,436
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Melissa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Melissa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Melissa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Melissa, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Melissa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Melissa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
53°
35°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
65°
47°
Apr
73°
55°
May
81°
63°
Jun
89°
71°
Jul
93°
75°
Aug
92°
72°
Sep
86°
67°
Oct
75°
56°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
55°
38°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Melissa has changed since 1995

Melissa sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Celina. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Celina page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Melissa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Melissa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Melissa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Melissa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Melissa?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Melissa forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Melissa?
July is typically the warmest month in Melissa, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Melissa get?
The coldest month in Melissa is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Melissa get?
Melissa sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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