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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Camarillo weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Camarillo's high today between 76° and 83°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain.

80°55°
77°55°
76°58°
76°57°
74°57°
72°58°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
56°
Clear
Feels 54° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 58%
EuropeanECMWF
53°
Clear
Feels 51° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Camarillo: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 56° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Clear · European (ECMWF): 53° Clear.

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Camarillo weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Camarillo weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Camarillo swings 35°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 44°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 16 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 105 days a year at 77°F or above, 22 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 35 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
December
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
16 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
68,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
105 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
35 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Camarillo’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Camarillo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Camarillo hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Camarillo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
80° 55°
±7°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
77° 55°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
76° 58°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 57°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 57°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 58°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
68° 58°
±4°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
70° 58°
±12°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
74° 58°
±20°
Mon
Cloudy
71° 59°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
75° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
78° 58°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
74° 60°
±4°

Camarillo, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 44°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Camarillo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Camarillo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
63°
46°
Feb
64°
47°
Mar
64°
49°
Apr
67°
49°
May
69°
55°
Jun
74°
57°
Jul
79°
57°
Aug
78°
58°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
75°
53°
Nov
70°
49°
Dec
64°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Camarillo has changed since 1995

Camarillo sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Van Nuys. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Van Nuys page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Camarillo?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F89±3.4 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
79
/100rank #2
53±4.7°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°76° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±6°74° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°72° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Camarillo

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
11h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Camarillo today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Camarillo's high today between 76° and 83°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Camarillo today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Camarillo on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Camarillo?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Camarillo (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Camarillo?
July is typically the warmest month in Camarillo, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Camarillo get?
The coldest month in Camarillo is December, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Camarillo get?
Camarillo sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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