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CheckWeather USCamarillo
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 8°F

Camarillo weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Camarillo's high today between 79° and 87°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 81°, with a 65% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

83°60°
81°65°
87°65°
89°69°
95°74°
92°75°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowsplit ±13°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±13°Wednesdaysplit ±18°Thursdaysplit ±15°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Mostly clear
Today 79°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Mostly clear
Today 84°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Clear
Today 87°·Low 60°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Camarillo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
83° 60°
±8°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 65°
±13°
Mon
Mostly clear
87° 65°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
89° 69°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 74°
±18°
Thu
Clear
92° 75°
±15°
Fri
Clear
86° 71°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
81° 66°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
81° 65°
±8°
Mon
Clear
83° 65°
±7°
Tue
Clear
86° 66°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
90° 70°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
87° 67°
±5°
Fri
Clear
86° 66°
±13°

Camarillo, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Camarillo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Camarillo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
66°
48°
May
66°
52°
Jun
72°
55°
Jul
79°
57°
Aug
79°
59°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
77°
55°
Nov
71°
50°
Dec
68°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Camarillo?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F91±2.9 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
76
/100rank #2
42±5.8°F98±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°79° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±13°76° to 89°±58%7% to 65% chance
Mon±9°81° to 91°±4%2% to 6% chance
Tue±13°82° to 95°±4%6% to 10% chance
Wed±18°85° to 103°±13%6% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Camarillo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Camarillo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Camarillo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Camarillo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Camarillo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Camarillo?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Camarillo (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the European at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Camarillo?
July is typically the warmest month in Camarillo, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Camarillo get?
The coldest month in Camarillo is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Camarillo get?
Camarillo sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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