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CheckWeather USOxnard
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Oxnard weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Oxnard's high today between 76° and 81°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 78°, with a 61% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

78°60°
78°65°
80°64°
79°68°
85°71°
82°72°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±10°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Mostly clear
Today 76°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 60°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oxnard and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
78° 60°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 65°
±10°
Mon
Mostly clear
80° 64°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
79° 68°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
85° 71°
±8°
Thu
Clear
82° 72°
±7°
Fri
Clear
79° 71°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
75° 68°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
76° 66°
±6°
Mon
Clear
75° 65°
models agree
Tue
Clear
78° 67°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
80° 70°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
78° 68°
±5°
Fri
Clear
77° 67°
±11°

Oxnard, CA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 74°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oxnard right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oxnard climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
60°
46°
Mar
59°
47°
Apr
62°
49°
May
63°
53°
Jun
68°
56°
Jul
73°
58°
Aug
74°
60°
Sep
73°
59°
Oct
72°
55°
Nov
68°
50°
Dec
65°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Oxnard?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°76° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±10°74° to 85°±54%7% to 61% chance
Mon±7°78° to 84°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±2°78° to 80°±11%7% to 18% chance
Wed±8°82° to 89°±12%6% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oxnard

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oxnard today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Oxnard today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oxnard today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Oxnard and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oxnard?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oxnard (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oxnard?
August is typically the warmest month in Oxnard, with average highs around 74°F.
How cold does Oxnard get?
The coldest month in Oxnard is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Oxnard get?
Oxnard sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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