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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Van Nuys weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Van Nuys's high today between 76° and 81°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°55°
79°53°
79°59°
77°58°
74°57°
71°58°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Clear
Feels 54° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 54%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Clear
Feels 54° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 76%

Latest for Van Nuys: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Clear · European (ECMWF): 57° Clear.

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Van Nuys weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Van Nuys…

Van Nuys weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Van Nuys swings 49°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 43°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 16 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 183 days a year at 77°F or above, 97 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 41 days.

Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
December
43°F average low
Wettest month
February
16 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
136,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
183 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
41 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Van Nuys’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Van Nuys and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Van Nuys hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Van Nuys 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
78° 55°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
79° 53°
models agree
Mon
Clear
79° 59°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
77° 58°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 57°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 58°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
67° 59°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
68° 59°
±7°
Sun
Light rain
72° 58°
±14°
Mon
Cloudy
74° 59°
±16°
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 59°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
77° 58°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 61°
±5°

Van Nuys, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 43°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Van Nuys right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Van Nuys climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
62°
44°
Feb
63°
45°
Mar
65°
49°
Apr
72°
50°
May
76°
55°
Jun
81°
59°
Jul
92°
63°
Aug
90°
64°
Sep
86°
63°
Oct
82°
56°
Nov
71°
48°
Dec
64°
43°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Van Nuys' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.9°F

Around Van Nuys, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.9°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average1996: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average1997: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average1998: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2001: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2002: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2008: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2010: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average2011: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average2012: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2014: +2.5°F vs the 30-year average2015: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2021: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2023: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2024: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

2 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −8 vs the 30-year average1996: +4 vs the 30-year average1997: +12 vs the 30-year average1998: −4 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: −2 vs the 30-year average2001: −11 vs the 30-year average2002: −5 vs the 30-year average2003: +11 vs the 30-year average2004: −2 vs the 30-year average2005: −7 vs the 30-year average2006: +5 vs the 30-year average2007: +2 vs the 30-year average2008: +5 vs the 30-year average2009: +1 vs the 30-year average2010: −1 vs the 30-year average2011: −4 vs the 30-year average2012: +5 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: +8 vs the 30-year average2015: +6 vs the 30-year average2016: −2 vs the 30-year average2017: +5 vs the 30-year average2018: −0 vs the 30-year average2019: −5 vs the 30-year average2020: +16 vs the 30-year average2021: −8 vs the 30-year average2022: +2 vs the 30-year average2023: −3 vs the 30-year average2024: −3 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−5%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +6% vs the 30-year average1997: +12% vs the 30-year average1998: +9% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −7% vs the 30-year average2002: −4% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: −0% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: +3% vs the 30-year average2007: −0% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: −0% vs the 30-year average2010: +3% vs the 30-year average2011: +3% vs the 30-year average2012: −4% vs the 30-year average2013: −4% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −4% vs the 30-year average2019: −0% vs the 30-year average2020: −4% vs the 30-year average2021: −0% vs the 30-year average2022: −4% vs the 30-year average2023: −0% vs the 30-year average2024: −7% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgWind vs avg
1995±0.0°F−8+3%
1996+0.4°F+4+6%
1997+1.5°F+12+12%
1998−1.1°F−4+9%
1999−1.1°F−6+3%
2000−0.2°F−2+3%
2001−1.2°F−11−7%
2002−1.2°F−5−4%
2003+0.2°F+11−0%
2004−0.2°F−2−0%
2005−0.5°F−7−0%
2006−0.2°F+5+3%
2007−0.5°F+2−0%
2008+0.2°F+5+3%
2009−0.7°F+1−0%
2010−2.0°F−1+3%
2011−2.0°F−4+3%
2012±0.0°F+5−4%
2013±0.0°F−4−4%
2014+2.5°F+8−4%
2015+2.4°F+6−4%
2016+1.1°F−2−0%
2017+1.3°F+5−0%
2018+0.7°F−0−4%
2019−0.7°F−5−0%
2020+1.1°F+16−4%
2021−0.2°F−8−0%
2022+1.1°F+2−4%
2023−0.9°F−3−0%
2024−0.2°F−3−7%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Van Nuys, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Van Nuys?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F92±2.5 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°76° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±3°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°71° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Van Nuys

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Van Nuys today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Van Nuys's high today between 76° and 81°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Van Nuys today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Van Nuys on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Van Nuys?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Van Nuys (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Van Nuys?
July is typically the warmest month in Van Nuys, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Van Nuys get?
The coldest month in Van Nuys is December, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Van Nuys get?
Van Nuys sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Van Nuys getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Van Nuys, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.9°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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