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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Thousand Oaks weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Thousand Oaks's high today between 75° and 81°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°56°
78°54°
77°58°
76°57°
73°58°
70°57°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
56°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 50%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 70%

Latest for Thousand Oaks: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 56° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Clear · European (ECMWF): 57° Clear.

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Thousand Oaks weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Thousand Oaks…

Thousand Oaks weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Thousand Oaks swings 46°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 44°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 17 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 152 days a year at 77°F or above, 67 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 36 days.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
December
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
17 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
129,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
83/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
152 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
36 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Thousand Oaks’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Thousand Oaks and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Thousand Oaks hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Thousand Oaks 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
77° 56°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
78° 54°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 58°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
76° 57°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
73° 58°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 57°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
66° 57°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
68° 57°
±9°
Sun
Light rain
72° 57°
±15°
Mon
Cloudy
73° 58°
±18°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 58°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 58°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
74° 60°
±6°

Thousand Oaks, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 44°F), with roughly 17 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Thousand Oaks right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Thousand Oaks climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
62°
46°
Mar
62°
48°
Apr
69°
50°
May
72°
55°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
90°
65°
Aug
86°
63°
Sep
83°
62°
Oct
80°
57°
Nov
69°
50°
Dec
64°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Thousand Oaks has changed since 1995

Thousand Oaks sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Van Nuys. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Van Nuys page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Thousand Oaks?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
73±2.7°F90±3.2 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
80
/100rank #2
58±4.2°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°75° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±4°76° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°76° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°74° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°71° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Thousand Oaks

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
11h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Thousand Oaks today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Thousand Oaks's high today between 75° and 81°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Thousand Oaks today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Thousand Oaks on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Thousand Oaks?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Thousand Oaks (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Thousand Oaks?
July is typically the warmest month in Thousand Oaks, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Thousand Oaks get?
The coldest month in Thousand Oaks is December, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Thousand Oaks get?
Thousand Oaks sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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