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CheckWeather USSimi Valley
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 8°F

Simi Valley weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Simi Valley's high today between 83° and 90°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 81°, with a 77% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

87°60°
81°66°
89°66°
92°69°
99°74°
98°75°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowsplit ±15°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±11°Wednesdaysplit ±15°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Clear
Today 83°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Partly cloudy
Today 89°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Clear
Today 90°·Low 63°·Rain 2%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Simi Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
87° 60°
±8°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 66°
±15°
Mon
Mostly clear
89° 66°
±8°
Tue
Partly cloudy
92° 69°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
99° 74°
±15°
Thu
Clear
98° 75°
±13°
Fri
Clear
90° 71°
±9°
Sat
Clear
85° 66°
±6°
Sun
Clear
86° 64°
±8°
Mon
Clear
88° 65°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 66°
±19°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 71°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
92° 70°
models agree
Fri
Clear
91° 66°
±9°

Simi Valley, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Simi Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Simi Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
61°
45°
Mar
62°
46°
Apr
70°
50°
May
72°
54°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
92°
69°
Aug
90°
67°
Sep
85°
64°
Oct
84°
60°
Nov
72°
52°
Dec
69°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in Simi Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F92±2.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
91
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F95±1.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°83° to 90°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±15°76° to 91°±69%8% to 77% chance
Mon±8°85° to 93°±5%2% to 7% chance
Tue±11°86° to 97°±5%6% to 11% chance
Wed±15°90° to 106°±11%8% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Simi Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Simi Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Simi Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Simi Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Simi Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Simi Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Simi Valley (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the European at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Simi Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in Simi Valley, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Simi Valley get?
The coldest month in Simi Valley is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Simi Valley get?
Simi Valley sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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