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CheckWeather USSanta Clarita
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Santa Clarita weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Santa Clarita today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 81°, with a 77% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

89°59°
81°66°
92°65°
95°69°
103°75°
103°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±11°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Mostly clear
Today 91°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Clear
Today 90°·Low 63°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Clarita and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
89° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 66°
±11°
Mon
Clear
92° 65°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
95° 69°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
103° 75°
±8°
Thu
Clear
103° 77°
±9°
Fri
Clear
96° 73°
models agree
Sat
Clear
90° 67°
±8°
Sun
Clear
92° 65°
±5°
Mon
Clear
94° 66°
±7°
Tue
Clear
95° 67°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
97° 72°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
91° 70°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
90° 67°
±12°

Santa Clarita, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Clarita right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Santa Clarita climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
42°
Feb
59°
41°
Mar
60°
44°
Apr
71°
48°
May
75°
52°
Jun
83°
59°
Jul
97°
70°
Aug
93°
68°
Sep
87°
63°
Oct
85°
59°
Nov
69°
47°
Dec
67°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Santa Clarita?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F93±2.2 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F88±3.8 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°88° to 91°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±11°75° to 86°±64%13% to 77% chance
Mon±6°89° to 96°±4%2% to 6% chance
Tue±6°92° to 98°±3%7% to 10% chance
Wed±8°98° to 106°±2%10% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Santa Clarita

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:14
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Santa Clarita today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Santa Clarita today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Santa Clarita today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Santa Clarita and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Clarita?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Santa Clarita (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Santa Clarita?
July is typically the warmest month in Santa Clarita, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Santa Clarita get?
The coldest month in Santa Clarita is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Santa Clarita get?
Santa Clarita sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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