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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Valencia weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Valencia today. Tomorrow: clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°53°
79°52°
78°56°
77°52°
75°54°
70°54°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Clear
Today 77°·Low 49°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Clear
Today 79°·Low 53°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Clear
Today 75°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
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Valencia weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Valencia…

Valencia weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Valencia swings 55°F across the year, from 94°F highs in August to 39°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 15 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 195 days a year at 77°F or above, 122 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 37 days.

Warmest month
August
94°F average high
Coldest month
December
39°F average low
Wettest month
February
15 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
148,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
195 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
37 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Valencia’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Valencia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Valencia hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Valencia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
77° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
79° 52°
models agree
Mon
Clear
78° 56°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
77° 52°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 54°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
70° 54°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
66° 54°
±6°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
68° 54°
±11°
Sun
Light rain
72° 55°
±17°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 56°
±19°
Tue
Showers
74° 57°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
78° 56°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 58°
±9°

Valencia, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 39°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Valencia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Valencia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
61°
44°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
65°
48°
Apr
72°
49°
May
78°
56°
Jun
86°
63°
Jul
93°
66°
Aug
94°
67°
Sep
89°
64°
Oct
82°
54°
Nov
70°
46°
Dec
62°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Valencia has changed since 1995

Valencia sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Santa Clarita. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Santa Clarita page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Valencia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F90±3.2 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°75° to 79°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±3°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°71° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Valencia

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
11h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Valencia today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Valencia today. Tomorrow: clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Valencia today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Valencia on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Valencia?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Valencia (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Valencia?
August is typically the warmest month in Valencia, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Valencia get?
The coldest month in Valencia is December, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Valencia get?
Valencia sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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