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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Canyon Country weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Canyon Country today. Tomorrow: clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain.

75°52°
78°53°
78°57°
76°54°
73°55°
69°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Clear
Today 76°·Low 50°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Clear
Today 77°·Low 53°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Clear
Today 74°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
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Canyon Country weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Canyon Country…

Canyon Country weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Canyon Country swings 53°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 40°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 15 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 186 days a year at 77°F or above, 116 of them at 86°F or above, 1 frost night, and rain on 41 days.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
December
40°F average low
Wettest month
February
15 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and November
Residents
60,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
186 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
1 night
a year below 32°F
Rain days
41 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Canyon Country’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Canyon Country and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Canyon Country hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Canyon Country 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
75° 52°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
78° 53°
models agree
Mon
Clear
78° 57°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
76° 54°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
73° 55°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
69° 55°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
65° 55°
±6°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
67° 55°
±9°
Sun
Light rain
71° 55°
±16°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 55°
±18°
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 58°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
75° 57°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 59°
±9°

Canyon Country, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 40°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Canyon Country right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Canyon Country climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
59°
43°
Feb
61°
43°
Mar
64°
48°
Apr
71°
48°
May
77°
54°
Jun
86°
62°
Jul
93°
66°
Aug
93°
68°
Sep
88°
64°
Oct
81°
55°
Nov
68°
46°
Dec
61°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Canyon Country has changed since 1995

Canyon Country sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Santa Clarita. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Santa Clarita page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canyon Country?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F94±2.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F89±3.4 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°74° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°77° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°77° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°73° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±7°69° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canyon Country

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canyon Country today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Canyon Country today. Tomorrow: clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Canyon Country today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Canyon Country on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canyon Country?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canyon Country (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canyon Country?
July is typically the warmest month in Canyon Country, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Canyon Country get?
The coldest month in Canyon Country is December, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Canyon Country get?
Canyon Country sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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