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CheckWeather USArlington Heights
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Arlington Heights weather

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Showers,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Arlington Heights today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain.

79°70°
77°66°
78°62°
85°64°
83°71°
80°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Showers
Today 79°·Low 71°·Rain 28%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Heavy drizzle
Today 78°·Low 69°·Rain 28%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 69°·Rain 43%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Arlington Heights and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
79° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
77° 66°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
78° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
85° 64°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 71°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
80° 65°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
83° 61°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
85° 67°
±7°
Sun
Showers
79° 65°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
72° 60°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
69° 56°
±12°
Wed
Mostly clear
71° 52°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
73° 56°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
74° 59°
±8°

Arlington Heights, IL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Arlington Heights right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Arlington Heights climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
21°
Feb
44°
25°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
59°
40°
May
71°
49°
Jun
81°
60°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
49°
36°
Dec
39°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Arlington Heights?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F96±1.3 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.5 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°78° to 80°±15%28% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±4°76° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°76° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°85° to 86°±5%2% to 7% chance
Wed±10°77° to 88°±18%41% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Arlington Heights

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Arlington Heights today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Arlington Heights today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Arlington Heights today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Arlington Heights and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Arlington Heights?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Arlington Heights (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Arlington Heights?
July is typically the warmest month in Arlington Heights, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Arlington Heights get?
The coldest month in Arlington Heights is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Arlington Heights get?
Arlington Heights sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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