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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Hoffman Estates weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Hoffman Estates's high today between 66° and 71°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 3% chance of rain.

69°48°
72°51°
64°52°
65°51°
71°54°
69°53°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 49°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 46°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Cloudy
Today 66°·Low 49°·Rain 0%
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Hoffman Estates weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Hoffman Estates weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hoffman Estates swings 65°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 17°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 93 days a year at 77°F or above, 27 of them at 86°F or above, 118 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
17°F average low
Wettest month
August
40 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
52,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
93 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
118 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
129 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hoffman Estates’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hoffman Estates and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hoffman Estates hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hoffman Estates 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
69° 48°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 51°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
64° 52°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
65° 51°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
71° 54°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
69° 53°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
68° 52°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
69° 55°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
64° 53°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
59° 43°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
46° 40°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
51° 40°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
56° 42°
±11°

Hoffman Estates, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 17°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hoffman Estates right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hoffman Estates climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
17°
Feb
37°
18°
Mar
46°
29°
Apr
57°
38°
May
68°
46°
Jun
79°
58°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
60°
44°
Nov
45°
32°
Dec
34°
23°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hoffman Estates has changed since 1995

Hoffman Estates sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Aurora. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Aurora page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hoffman Estates?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F95±1.7 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°66° to 71°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±6°69° to 75°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±2°63° to 65°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±3°63° to 66°±23%1% to 24% chance
Wed±2°70° to 72°±12%10% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hoffman Estates

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hoffman Estates today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Hoffman Estates's high today between 66° and 71°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 3% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hoffman Estates today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Hoffman Estates on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 3% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hoffman Estates?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hoffman Estates (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hoffman Estates?
July is typically the warmest month in Hoffman Estates, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Hoffman Estates get?
The coldest month in Hoffman Estates is January, when overnight lows average about 17°F.
How much rain does Hoffman Estates get?
Hoffman Estates sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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