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Every US forecast, compared
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Aurora weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Mainly clear
Feels 72° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
68°
Overcast
Feels 67° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 55%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Partly cloudy
Feels 69° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for Aurora: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 71° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 68° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 70° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Aurora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Aurora, IL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Aurora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Aurora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
21°
Feb
44°
26°
Mar
49°
31°
Apr
60°
40°
May
73°
51°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
83°
64°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Aurora?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.7 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Aurora today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Aurora today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Aurora today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Aurora and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aurora?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aurora (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aurora?
July is typically the warmest month in Aurora, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Aurora get?
The coldest month in Aurora is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Aurora get?
Aurora sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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