Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather US›Illinois›Buffalo Grove

Buffalo Grove weather

Loading live data…

Buffalo Grove weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Buffalo Grove…

Buffalo Grove weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Buffalo Grove swings 64°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 17°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 85 days a year at 77°F or above, 24 of them at 86°F or above, 116 frost nights, and rain on 128 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
17°F average low
Wettest month
August
38 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
41,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
85 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
116 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
128 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Buffalo Grove’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Buffalo Grove and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Buffalo Grove hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Buffalo Grove 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Buffalo Grove, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 17°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Buffalo Grove right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Buffalo Grove climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
17°
Feb
36°
18°
Mar
45°
29°
Apr
57°
38°
May
67°
46°
Jun
77°
58°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
79°
63°
Sep
72°
56°
Oct
60°
44°
Nov
46°
32°
Dec
35°
23°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Buffalo Grove has changed since 1995

Buffalo Grove sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Aurora. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Aurora page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Buffalo Grove?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F96±1.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Buffalo Grove today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Buffalo Grove today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Buffalo Grove today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Buffalo Grove and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Buffalo Grove?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Buffalo Grove (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Buffalo Grove?
July is typically the warmest month in Buffalo Grove, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Buffalo Grove get?
The coldest month in Buffalo Grove is January, when overnight lows average about 17°F.
How much rain does Buffalo Grove get?
Buffalo Grove sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather