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Withernsea weather

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Withernsea weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Yorkshire & Humber…

Withernsea weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Withernsea swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 2°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 713 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 3 days a year at 25°C or above, 15 frost nights, and rain on 149 days.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
713 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
6,159
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
3 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
15 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
149 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Withernsea’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Withernsea and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Withernsea hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Withernsea 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Withernsea, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 713 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Withernsea right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Withernsea climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
6°
May
14°
8°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Withernsea has changed since 1995

Withernsea sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Grimsby. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Grimsby page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Withernsea?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.1 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C98±0.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Withernsea today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Withernsea today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Withernsea today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Withernsea and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Withernsea?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Withernsea (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Met Office at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Withernsea?
July is typically the warmest month in Withernsea, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Withernsea get?
The coldest month in Withernsea is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Withernsea get?
Withernsea sees roughly 713 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

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