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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Wirral (Birkenhead) weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Wirral (Birkenhead) today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 6% chance of rain.

11°8°
12°7°
11°7°
11°7°
10°7°
10°6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agreeSundaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Overcast
Feels 6° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Partly cloudy
Feels 5° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Overcast
Feels 6° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Wirral (Birkenhead): Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 8° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Overcast.

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Wirral (Birkenhead) weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Wirral (Birkenhead) weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Wirral (Birkenhead) swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 847 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 frost nights, and rain on 190 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
847 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
325,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
11 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
190 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Wirral (Birkenhead)’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Wirral (Birkenhead) and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wirral (Birkenhead) hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wirral (Birkenhead) 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
11° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 7°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Tue
Clear
10° 6°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
10° 5°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
10° 7°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree

Wirral (Birkenhead), England. Often shortened to Wirral, Birkenhead. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Wirral (Birkenhead) right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Wirral (Birkenhead)'s weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Wirral (Birkenhead) weather by month

what to expect in Wirral (Birkenhead) through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Wirral (Birkenhead)'s typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Wirral (Birkenhead) by season.

Jan
7°
3°
Cold
Feb
8°
3°
Cool
Mar
9°
4°
Cool
Apr
11°
5°
Cool
May
14°
8°
Cool
Jun
17°
11°
Mild
Jul
18°
14°
Mild
Aug
19°
14°
Mild
Sep
17°
12°
Mild
Oct
13°
9°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
10°
6°
Cool
Dec
7°
4°
Cold

What Wirral (Birkenhead)'s weather is like through the year

Wirral (Birkenhead) runs from warm summers, with August highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Wirral (Birkenhead) sees roughly 847 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Wirral (Birkenhead)

The most comfortable time to visit Wirral (Birkenhead) is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How the weather around Wirral (Birkenhead) has changed since 1995

Wirral (Birkenhead) sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Liverpool. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Liverpool page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wirral (Birkenhead)?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±1.2 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
74
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C94±1.9 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Wirral (Birkenhead), scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 87. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree12° to 12°±6%0% to 6% chance
Thu±2°10° to 12°±10%0% to 10% chance
Fri±2°10° to 12°±10%0% to 10% chance
Sat±1°10° to 10°±14%0% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wirral (Birkenhead)

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
16:36
Daylight
9h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wirral (Birkenhead) today?
Tuesday 3 November: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Wirral (Birkenhead) today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 6% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Wirral (Birkenhead) today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Wirral (Birkenhead) on Wednesday 4 November: no model gives more than 6% (Met Office 0%, European 2%, American 6%). On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wirral (Birkenhead)?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wirral (Birkenhead) (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wirral (Birkenhead)?
August is typically the warmest month in Wirral (Birkenhead), with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Wirral (Birkenhead) get?
The coldest month in Wirral (Birkenhead) is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Wirral (Birkenhead) get?
Wirral (Birkenhead) sees roughly 847 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Wirral (Birkenhead)?
The most comfortable time to visit Wirral (Birkenhead) is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Wirral (Birkenhead)?
Rarely - Wirral (Birkenhead) very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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