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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Birkenhead weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Birkenhead today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.

15°9°
12°10°
16°8°
17°11°
14°11°
13°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 9°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light rain
Today 15°·Low 9°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light rain
Today 15°·Low 9°·Rain 100%
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Birkenhead weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Birkenhead weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Birkenhead swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 847 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 frost nights, and rain on 190 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
847 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
325,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
11 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
190 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Birkenhead’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Birkenhead and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Birkenhead hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Birkenhead 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
15° 9°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 9°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
9° 4°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
9° 4°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 5°
±5°

Birkenhead, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Birkenhead right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Birkenhead's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Birkenhead weather by month

what to expect in Birkenhead through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Birkenhead's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Birkenhead by season.

Jan
7°
3°
Cold
Feb
8°
3°
Cool
Mar
9°
4°
Cool
Apr
11°
5°
Cool
May
14°
8°
Cool
Jun
17°
11°
Mild
Jul
18°
14°
Mild
Aug
19°
14°
Mild
Sep
17°
12°
Mild
Oct
13°
9°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
10°
6°
Cool
Dec
7°
4°
Cold

What Birkenhead's weather is like through the year

Birkenhead runs from warm summers, with August highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Birkenhead sees roughly 847 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Birkenhead

The most comfortable time to visit Birkenhead is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How the weather around Birkenhead has changed since 1995

Birkenhead sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Liverpool. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Liverpool page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Birkenhead?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±1.1 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
67
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±2.0 mph2961% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Birkenhead, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 87. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±67%33% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±39%61% to 100% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±51%23% to 74% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Birkenhead

today, local time
Sunrise
07:55
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
10h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Birkenhead today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Birkenhead today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Birkenhead today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Birkenhead on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 33%, European 92%, American 100%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Birkenhead?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Birkenhead (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Birkenhead?
August is typically the warmest month in Birkenhead, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Birkenhead get?
The coldest month in Birkenhead is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Birkenhead get?
Birkenhead sees roughly 847 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Birkenhead?
The most comfortable time to visit Birkenhead is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Birkenhead?
Rarely - Birkenhead very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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