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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Tynemouth weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Tynemouth today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

11°5°
11°8°
15°8°
16°10°
13°9°
13°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Light rain
Today 11°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Heavy drizzle
Today 11°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Heavy drizzle
Today 12°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
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Tynemouth weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North East England…

Tynemouth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Tynemouth swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 2°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 669 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 21 frost nights, and rain on 157 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
669 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
61,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
21 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
157 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Tynemouth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Tynemouth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tynemouth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tynemouth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
11° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13° 9°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
13° 9°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
12° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 9°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
12° 7°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±5°

Tynemouth, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 669 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Tynemouth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Tynemouth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
11°
5°
May
14°
8°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
9°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tynemouth has changed since 1995

Tynemouth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sunderland. That square ran 0.3°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sunderland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tynemouth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
78
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±1.3 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±1.4 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±58%42% to 100% chance
Mon±2°15° to 16°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±2°15° to 16°±32%35% to 67% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±50%17% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tynemouth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:53
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
9h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tynemouth today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Tynemouth today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Tynemouth today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Tynemouth on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 70%, American 42%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tynemouth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tynemouth (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Met Office at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tynemouth?
August is typically the warmest month in Tynemouth, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Tynemouth get?
The coldest month in Tynemouth is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Tynemouth get?
Tynemouth sees roughly 669 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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