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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Jarrow weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Jarrow's high today between 20° and 22°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 19°, with a 65% chance of rain.

21°12°
19°14°
16°11°
17°11°
19°10°
19°13°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Heavy drizzle
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Today 20°·Low 11°·Rain 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Showers
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 97%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Jarrow and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
21° 12°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
19° 14°
models agree
Tue
Rain
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
18° 10°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
21° 14°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17° 11°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19° 11°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±2°
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
±5°

Jarrow, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 951 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Jarrow right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Jarrow climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
Apr
11°
May
15°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Jarrow?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
83
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±1.2 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C96±1.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±1%96% to 97% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±43%22% to 65% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±32%33% to 65% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±2%8% to 10% chance
Thu±2°18° to 20°±15%18% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jarrow

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jarrow today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Jarrow today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jarrow today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Jarrow and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jarrow?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jarrow (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jarrow?
August is typically the warmest month in Jarrow, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Jarrow get?
The coldest month in Jarrow is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Jarrow get?
Jarrow sees roughly 951 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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