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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Tiverton weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Tiverton today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°9°
12°8°
17°8°
16°9°
15°9°
14°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Rain
Today 16°·Low 9°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 8°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Showers
Today 16°·Low 8°·Rain 100%
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Tiverton weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Tiverton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Tiverton swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1128 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 6 days a year at 25°C or above, 20 frost nights, and rain on 160 days.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
December
1128 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
22,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
6 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
20 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
160 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Tiverton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Tiverton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tiverton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tiverton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 9°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
17° 8°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Fog
14° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
14° 7°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
12° 6°
±3°
Mon
Partly cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
11° 6°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
9° 3°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 2°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
10° 3°
±3°

Tiverton, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1128 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Tiverton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Tiverton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
4°
May
15°
8°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
14°
9°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tiverton has changed since 1995

Tiverton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Barnstaple. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Barnstaple page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tiverton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
78
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C91±2.8 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
70±1.6°C96±1.3 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±20%80% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±11%89% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±36%64% to 100% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±54%13% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tiverton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:52
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tiverton today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Tiverton today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Tiverton today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Tiverton on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 80% (Met Office 100%, European 80%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tiverton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tiverton (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Met Office at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tiverton?
July is typically the warmest month in Tiverton, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Tiverton get?
The coldest month in Tiverton is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Tiverton get?
Tiverton sees roughly 1128 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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