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Thurso weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
7°
Drizzle
Feels 1° · Wind 21 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Light rain
Feels 0° · Wind 25 mph · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
7°
Light drizzle
Feels -1° · Wind 27 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Thurso: Met Office (UKMO model): 7° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 7° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 7° Light drizzle.

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Thurso weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Highlands & Eilean Siar

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Highlands & Eilean Siar…

Thurso weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Thurso swings 14°C across the year, from 17°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1014 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 0 days a year at 25°C or above, 16 frost nights, and rain on 210 days.

Warmest month
August
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
November
1014 mm a year
Comfortable
1 month
August
Residents
7,390
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
0 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
16 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
210 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Thurso’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Thurso and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Thurso hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Thurso 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Thurso, Scotland is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1014 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Thurso right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Thurso climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
7°
3°
Mar
7°
3°
Apr
10°
5°
May
12°
7°
Jun
15°
9°
Jul
15°
11°
Aug
17°
12°
Sep
14°
10°
Oct
12°
8°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Thurso's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Thurso, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2021: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

3 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +13 vs the 30-year average1996: −0 vs the 30-year average1997: −1 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: +1 vs the 30-year average2000: −0 vs the 30-year average2001: +12 vs the 30-year average2002: −1 vs the 30-year average2003: −1 vs the 30-year average2004: −2 vs the 30-year average2005: −3 vs the 30-year average2006: −1 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: +2 vs the 30-year average2009: −2 vs the 30-year average2010: +10 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: −0 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −3 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +4 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: +3 vs the 30-year average2022: −3 vs the 30-year average2023: −0 vs the 30-year average2024: −3 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: +5% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: −1% vs the 30-year average2001: −6% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: +8% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: −8% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: −1% vs the 30-year average2015: +7% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: +4% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: −9% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: +2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.4°C+13+2%
1996−0.8°C−0+1%
1997+0.1°C−1−1%
1998−0.3°C+3+5%
1999−0.3°C+1+4%
2000−0.3°C−0−1%
2001−0.6°C+12−6%
2002+0.2°C−1−2%
2003+0.6°C−1−2%
2004+0.3°C−2+2%
2005+0.2°C−3+8%
2006+0.3°C−1−2%
2007+0.1°C−1+2%
2008−0.1°C+2+4%
2009+0.2°C−2−2%
2010−0.8°C+10−8%
2011+0.2°C−0+2%
2012−0.6°C−2−1%
2013−0.3°C−0+2%
2014+0.5°C−3−1%
2015−0.3°C−3+7%
2016−0.1°C−3−3%
2017+0.3°C−3+4%
2018−0.1°C+4−2%
2019+0.2°C−3−3%
2020+0.1°C−3−1%
2021±0.0°C+3−9%
2022+0.6°C−3+2%
2023+0.5°C−0−6%
2024+0.4°C−3+2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Thurso, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Thurso?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C90±3.2 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C91±2.7 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
94±0.3°C95±1.5 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Thurso today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Thurso today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Thurso today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Thurso and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Thurso?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Thurso (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Met Office at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Thurso?
August is typically the warmest month in Thurso, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Thurso get?
The coldest month in Thurso is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Thurso get?
Thurso sees roughly 1014 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
Is Thurso getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Thurso, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

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