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Lossiemouth weather

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Lossiemouth weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Grampian

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Grampian…

Lossiemouth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lossiemouth swings 15°C across the year, from 17°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 812 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 24 frost nights, and rain on 182 days.

Warmest month
July
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
812 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
6,840
share this forecast
Most accurate here
Met Office
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
24 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
182 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lossiemouth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Lossiemouth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lossiemouth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lossiemouth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lossiemouth, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 812 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Lossiemouth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Lossiemouth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
7°
Jun
16°
8°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
15°
9°
Oct
12°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lossiemouth has changed since 1995

Lossiemouth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Elgin. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Elgin page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lossiemouth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±1.9 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C91±2.7 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
81
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C94±1.8 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lossiemouth today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Lossiemouth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lossiemouth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Lossiemouth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lossiemouth?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Lossiemouth (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lossiemouth?
July is typically the warmest month in Lossiemouth, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Lossiemouth get?
The coldest month in Lossiemouth is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Lossiemouth get?
Lossiemouth sees roughly 812 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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