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CheckWeather UKStoke-on-Trent
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Stoke-on-Trent weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Stoke-on-Trent's high today between 22° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 56% chance of rain.

23°12°
18°14°
16°10°
16°10°
17°10°
18°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Mainly clear
Feels 16° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Mainly clear
Feels 14° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 80%

Latest for Stoke-on-Trent: Met Office (UKMO model): 19° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 16° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Stoke-on-Trent and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19°
±6°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
20° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
16°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±5°

Stoke-on-Trent, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Stoke-on-Trent right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Stoke-on-Trent's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Stoke-on-Trent weather by month

what to expect in Stoke-on-Trent through the year

Here is Stoke-on-Trent's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Stoke-on-Trent by season.

Jan
Cold
Feb
Cool
Mar
Cool
Apr
11°
Cool
May
16°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
19°
12°
Mild
Aug
19°
12°
Mild
Sep
18°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
Cool
Dec
Cool

What Stoke-on-Trent's weather is like through the year

Stoke-on-Trent runs from warm summers, with June highs near 19°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Stoke-on-Trent sees roughly 1113 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Stoke-on-Trent

The most comfortable time to visit Stoke-on-Trent is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Stoke-on-Trent?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C91±2.7 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±1.3 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Stoke-on-Trent, scoring 98/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 91. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°22° to 24°±42%36% to 78% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°±30%26% to 56% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±3%68% to 71% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±6%39% to 45% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±12%27% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stoke-on-Trent

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stoke-on-Trent today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Stoke-on-Trent today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stoke-on-Trent today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Stoke-on-Trent and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stoke-on-Trent?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stoke-on-Trent (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stoke-on-Trent?
June is typically the warmest month in Stoke-on-Trent, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Stoke-on-Trent get?
The coldest month in Stoke-on-Trent is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Stoke-on-Trent get?
Stoke-on-Trent sees roughly 1113 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Stoke-on-Trent?
The most comfortable time to visit Stoke-on-Trent is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Stoke-on-Trent?
Rarely - Stoke-on-Trent very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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