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CheckWeather UKNewcastle under Lyme
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Newcastle under Lyme weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Newcastle under Lyme's high today between 21° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 56% chance of rain.

23°12°
18°14°
16°10°
16°10°
17°10°
17°11°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Heavy drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 11°·Rain 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 36%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Newcastle under Lyme and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19°
±6°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
20° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
17° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±6°

Newcastle under Lyme, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1113 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Newcastle under Lyme right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Newcastle under Lyme climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Newcastle under Lyme?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
91
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C97±1.1 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C90±3.0 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 24°±42%36% to 78% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°±30%26% to 56% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±3%68% to 71% chance
Wed±1°16° to 16°±6%39% to 45% chance
Thu±1°17° to 17°±12%27% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newcastle under Lyme

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newcastle under Lyme today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Newcastle under Lyme today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newcastle under Lyme today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Newcastle under Lyme and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newcastle under Lyme?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newcastle under Lyme (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newcastle under Lyme?
June is typically the warmest month in Newcastle under Lyme, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Newcastle under Lyme get?
The coldest month in Newcastle under Lyme is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Newcastle under Lyme get?
Newcastle under Lyme sees roughly 1113 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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