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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sleaford weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Sleaford today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 59% chance of rain.

15°6°
12°8°
16°8°
16°9°
15°9°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Light rain
Feels 6° · Wind 18 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Light rain
Feels 4° · Wind 22 mph · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 87%

Latest for Sleaford: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 10° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Drizzle.

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Sleaford weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…

Sleaford weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Sleaford swings 21°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 629 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 14 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 26 frost nights, and rain on 137 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
August
629 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
17,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
14 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
26 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
137 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Sleaford’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Sleaford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sleaford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sleaford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
15° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Fog
12° 8°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 7°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 6°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 1°
±2°

Sleaford, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 629 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Sleaford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Sleaford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
10°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Sleaford has changed since 1995

Sleaford sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Lincoln. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Lincoln page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sleaford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±1.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C97±1.1 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±59%0% to 59% chance
Mon±1°16° to 16°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±19%33% to 52% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±30%3% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sleaford

today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
10h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sleaford today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Sleaford today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 59% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sleaford today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Sleaford on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 0%, European 26%, American 59%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sleaford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sleaford (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sleaford?
August is typically the warmest month in Sleaford, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Sleaford get?
The coldest month in Sleaford is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Sleaford get?
Sleaford sees roughly 629 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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